Bluff

By: Chris Iaquinta – December 02, 2008

One of the things I get asked the most from beginning and intermediate players is whether or not they should “dress the part” at the poker table, including wearing sunglasses. My answer to them, as it is to you, is always the same. If you know why you should wear sunglasses, then wear them. Otherwise, you’re going to just look like someone at the table who has sensitive feelings about the color of their eyelashes.

I’m not sure exactly what started the sunglasses at the table craze, because it certainly didn’t exist to anywhere near this degree just ten years ago. One of the common pieces of bad information that you’ll hear is that pro players wear shades at the table to disguise their eyes from the other players. There is some truth to this, but to be honest, only the most elite of card players in the world are going to be able to read someone simply by the actions of their eyes, and when was the last time you played with someone of that caliber? So if your sitting at a basic $1-$2 limit ‘hold-em game at your local card room and half the table has Oakley’s on, you know your playing with a bunch of wannabe’s.

The truth? The real reason to wear sunglasses, if at all, is so that you can give the illusion of disinterest at the table, allowing you to observe your opposition from relatively hidden state. By wearing sunglasses, you can give the illusion that you’re not really paying attention to every move your opponents make, that maybe you’re not looking in their direction when in fact you actually are. They won’t bother to cover up any nervous gestures, facial expressions, betting patterns or anything else of the sort if they don’t think your paying attention.

If done correctly, you’ll have the table fooled that your one of these “pretenders” that wears the glasses simply because your favorite pro does, or because you think that it’s a important tool to shield your eyes from observant players. Again, only the best know what to do with the information they can get off your eyes, but EVERYONE can benefit from silently observing the other players at the table.

So which brand should you wear? If you’re trying to maintain your ninja-esque presence, don’t pick a flashy pair that will naturally draw the eye of another player, and most certainly do not throw on some holographic monstrosities like the one Greg Raymer walks around in, because that’s just begging for attention. The more casual the glasses, the more casual your table presence, and trust me, your visual look plays a very important role in how intently the others at the table will watch you.

There are some that say sunglasses are strictly for rank amateurs and have no place at a real card game. Well guess what, you probably are a rank amateur who has about as much a chance at sitting at The Big Game at the Bellagio as you do playing for the Lakers. If you think wearing glasses will give you an edge, the CORRECT edge, then go for it.

 
By: Poker Shrink – September 22, 2007

fromula3

Yes that actually is a formula for when to bluff. Specifically for when to bluff post-flop in No Limit Texas Hold'em. It comes from a very interesting website and it even has an attached Excel spreadsheet calculator in case your math skills have slipped since algebra. Notice what the skilled mathematician has considered in his equation.

O= The skill level of your opponents (1-10 with 1 being "your neighbor's kids"). Because you can't bluff bad opponents—they'll call even when they shouldn't.

C= How conservative are the opponents who are still in? Again, you can't bluff against loose cannons—they'll call even when they shouldn't.

I= Your table image (1-10 with 10 being "have consistently thrown away everything except for pocket rockets"). If people think you're a loose cannon, they're more likely to call you.

F= The Flop. An ideal bluffing flop is one in which either all three cards are junk, or in which two are junk and one is a high card you can represent.

N= The number of people still in after the flop. No bluffing into a family pot.

P= Your position. You want to act last, ideally after watching everyone check their junk to you.

S= The Strength of other players' hands. This assumes you have some reading skills; don't all the good scientific equations always seem to relie on at least one fundamental assumption? You know like gravity or warp drive.

There's a catch, this equation defines the perfect situation in which to bluff. However, if you're always bluffing in the mathematically perfect situation, your opponents will know you're bluffing! You know it's the old: If he knows I am bluffing then will he think I know he knows or will he know I know he knows I know and therefore.....

Warning: the equation was created as a sample video for a proposed TV show on the SciFi channel (they wanted to see massive geekiness in action). But it comes with a video explanation.

 
By: Poker Shrink – August 15, 2007

bluff
I got a note from one of my poker friends yesterday that said:

"I see your buddy made it to the top of the ESPN rankings."

Before I went to take a look, I asked myself two questions.

#1: "What is the Bluff/ESPN criteria for their rankings?"
#2: "Which buddy was he referring to?"

With all the magazines and online sites ranking players and doing "Player of the Year" races, you need to know how player performance is used in the rankings. And I wondered if by "buddy" my friend was joking with me and perhaps he meant that one of the players I really dislike was in first place or if he actually meant that someone I knew and liked was currently Numero Uno.

So I tried a little experiment. First, I went and looked at the Bluff/ESPN criteria. Here they are:

The Bluff/ESPN Power Rankings are based on the results of major tournaments over a trailing 24-month period. Qualifying tournaments must have a minimum $5,000 buy-in and at least 100 participants.

Bluff Media reserves the right to include any high-denomination, high profile events. Tournaments occurring in the trailing 12-month period are given additional weighting. Players must finish in the money to earn points.

Next, without looking at any database of results, I picked who I think/feel/remember should be at the top of this list. My first and second choices were heavily influenced by my friend's statement that: "your buddy made it to #1". So consider one of my favorite great players and my least favorite great player are one and two in my selections. I will leave it to you to decide which is which.

I put my top 11 [I gave myself one extra because of the "buddy" tip] on the list below. I did pretty well, all of my top 11 are in the actual top 30, except for that one distraction I put in the #2 slot.

Here is the ESPN/Bluff Poker Ranking list as of July 30, 2007 with my guesses in [brackets].